What company should I join?
“If you join a company, my general advice is to join a company on a breakout trajectory.”
— Sam Altman, President at Y Combinator
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The Breakout List, 2017
break·out adjective
more than $5mm gross profit (roughly revenue minus cost of goods sold) in 2017, not run rate. likely to 8x by 2020. defensible. if not monetizing yet, based on public comparables (biased source: investors)
| Name |
Notes |
Product |
Stage |
Tags |
Investors |
Location |
|
Working at Opendoor; great team; strong growth; huge market |
Buy/sell your home online |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
KV, GGV |
SF |
|
Hiring hackers; network effect; strong growth; great team |
Startup funding and advice |
Early |
Breakout |
Sequoia |
SF/MTV |
|
Working at AngelList; exceptional team; strong growth; growing market; incl PH subset |
Fundraising and recruiting for startups |
Early |
Breakout |
Atlas, GV |
SF/NYC |
|
Large market |
Engineering microbes |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
DCVC, Softbank |
Emeryville, CA |
|
Strong growth; large market |
Freight forwarding |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
FF, 8VC |
SF |
|
Strong growth; large market |
Online content |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Greylock, A16Z |
SF |
|
Strong growth |
Background checks |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Accel, YC |
SF |
|
Strong growth |
Data backup, recovery, compliance etc for enterprise |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
LSVP, Greylock |
Palo Alto |
|
Strong growth; large market |
Moneyball for clothing |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Baseline, LSVP, Benchmark |
SF |
|
Strong growth |
SaaS for law enforcement |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
GC, Spark |
NYC/DC |
|
Strong growth |
Single sign-on for enterprises |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
A16Z, Greylock |
Various |
|
Working at Intercom; strong growth |
Customer messaging platform |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Social Capital, Bessemer |
SF, Dublin |
|
Working at Segment; strong growth |
Analytics |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Accel, Thrive |
SF |
|
Strong growth |
In-memory databases |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Accel, KV |
SF |
|
Working at Tanium; Strong growth |
Enterprise security |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
A16Z |
Emeryville, CA |
|
Strong growth |
Mortgage enterprise software |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
A16Z, LSVP, FF |
SF |
|
Working at Docker |
Application containers |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Benchmark, Greylock |
SF |
|
Strong growth |
Brick and mortar analytics |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
F8, FF |
SF |
View the list as a PNG image.
Google's gross profit over an 8 year period, beginning when Larry and Sergey started working on BackRub.
March 2017: We are seeking suggestions for X where:
"if [X company] didn't exist, 40 years from now the world may be a substantially less fun/interesting place" and
"if [X company] didn't exist, 20 years from now it's unlikely any other company would've successfully solved the same problem" (i.e. if this company doesn't solve it, no-one else is going to solve it any time soon) and where the problem is of massive significance to the world.
Suggest names here.
Breakout List 2017, Extended
A few more companies that the $5mm gross profit in 2017 requirement, with less certainty on whether they will increase gross profit by the target of 8x over 3 years.
| Name |
Product |
Stage |
Tags |
Investors |
Location |
|
Hyperloop One
|
Transportation tube |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Sherpa |
LA |
|
Affirm
|
Loans |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
KV, Spark |
SF |
|
Gusto
|
Payroll, benefits & HR |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
GC, CapitalG |
SF |
|
Wish
|
Walmart, but online |
Mid-late |
Breakout |
F8, GGV |
SF |
|
Thumbtack
|
Find service professionals |
Mid-late |
Breakout |
Javelin, Sequoia |
SF |
|
PlanGrid
|
Construction software |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Sequoia, Tenaya |
SF |
|
Optimizely
|
A/B testing |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Benchmark, A16Z |
SF |
|
Soylent
|
Meal replacement |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Lerer, A16Z |
LA |
|
Synack
|
Penetration testing |
Early |
Breakout |
KPCB, GGV, Icon |
Various |
|
Lyft
|
Car rides |
Mid-late |
Breakout |
Mayfield, FF |
SF |
|
Slack
|
Team chat |
Mid-late |
Breakout |
Accel, A16Z |
SF |
|
Illumio
|
Data center security |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
A16Z, GC |
Sunnyvale, CA |
|
Qadium
|
Network information for enterprise |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
FF, NEA |
SF |
|
Collective Health
|
Health benefits management |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
FF |
SF |
|
Instacart
|
Grocery delivery |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
KV, Sequoia, A16Z |
SF |
|
OfferUp
|
Local buy/sell classifieds |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Jackson Square |
Bellevue, WA |
|
Quora
|
Q&A |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Benchmark, Thiel |
MTV |
|
Reddit
|
Online communities/forums |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Altman |
SF |
|
Magic Leap
|
Augmented reality |
Mid-late |
Breakout |
Google |
Various |
|
Asana
|
Enterprise task management |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Benchmark, FF |
SF |
|
Wealthfront
|
Online investment management |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
DAG, Index |
PA |
|
Pinterest
|
Save and discover products |
Mid-late |
Breakout |
Bessemer, A16Z |
SF |
|
Radius
|
B2B marketing tools |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
AMEX, F8 |
SF |
|
Nuna Health
|
Healthcare data for enterprises |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Non-public |
SF |
|
Oscar Health
|
Health insurance for consumers |
Mid-size |
Breakout |
Thrive, KV, GC |
NYC |
The best companies have a) large markets or markets that will be very large in 10-20 years b) a strong moat c) the potential for many years of compounding growth without proportionally increasing costs, amongst other things.
To assess moat/defensibility, ask "how easy would it be for a competitor to build a cheap competitor and be more attractive?"
There is a large difference between a decent company that is likely to experience some growth and one that is likely to experience compounding growth for many years with a massive ceiling. Opportunities will be richer at the latter. If you're optimizing for opportunities, seek startups that are great, not hot.
Future Breakouts 2017
Companies where data makes us expect they will be on the 2018 Breakout List
Expect to see previously listed companies like Color Genomics announced to this list.
Next future breakout announcing soon, first to Twitter @BreakoutList and this email list.
Foundational List 2017
Can be $100bn companies with minimal product changes by 2026.
As a side note, if joining Amazon, go to AWS. If joining Facebook, go to the AI lab or Oculus. If joining Alphabet, go to DeepMind.
More obvious
| Name |
Notes |
Product |
Stage |
Tags |
Investors |
Location |
|
Great network effect; strong growth; huge market |
Accommodation |
Late |
Foundational |
Sequoia, Greylock, A16Z |
SF |
|
Working at Uber; strong growth; go to the Uber ATC or Otto teams |
Car rides |
Late |
Foundational |
FRC, Benchmark, Menlo |
SF, Pittsburgh |
|
High energy market; go to Tesla Autopilot Team |
Cars and energy |
Late |
Foundational |
Elon |
Palo Alto |
Likely
| Name |
Notes |
Product |
Stage |
Tags |
Investors |
Location |
|
Lots of hype lately in part due to Spectacles; nice network effect |
Cameras and messaging |
Late |
Foundational |
LSVP, Benchmark, IVP |
LA |
|
Without SpaceX, no-one is working on colonizing mars. |
Rockets 🚀 |
Late |
Foundational |
Elon, FF |
LA |
|
Expect Stripe to be building up defensibility; large and growing market |
Accept payments online |
Mid-size |
Foundational |
Thiel, Elon, Sequoia, GC |
SF |
Earlier bets
| Name |
Notes |
Product |
Stage |
Tags |
Investors |
Location |
|
Working at Opendoor; exceptional team; strong growth; huge market |
Buy/sell your home online |
Mid-size |
Foundational |
KV, GGV |
SF |
|
YC's Hiring Post; lots of action going on; strong brand; strong growth; exceptional team |
Startup funding and advice |
Early |
Foundational |
Sequoia |
SF/MTV |
|
Working at Slack; repeat founders; central to customers' lives; momentum/growth |
Team chat |
Late |
Foundational |
Accel, A16Z |
SF |
Important problems, The "Mission List" 2017
Important and valuable problems. Mission = "How would the world be different if this company didn't exist?"
| Name |
Mission |
Tags |
Investors |
Location |
|
Without Open Phil, big philanthropists won't systematically work out the most important problems for humanity and work on them — instead, people will choose emotionally. See also: 80,000 hrs, and more. |
Important |
Dustin, Cari |
SF |
|
Without OpenAI, AI will pose a bigger risk to humanity. See more companies working on this. |
Important |
Sam, Greg, Reid, Jessica, Elon, Peter |
SF |
|
Without SpaceX, no-one is working on colonizing mars. |
Important |
Elon, FF |
LA |
|
List: Climate/Energy
|
Without these companies, climate change will pose a bigger risk to humanity. |
Important |
Various |
Various |
|
List: Biosecurity
|
Without these companies, biosecurity will pose a bigger risk to humanity. |
Important |
Various |
Various |
More missions in draft as well as specific lists e.g. bringing people out of poverty, helping elect a tech/engineering candidate in 2020 (indicate interest), or helping people be more satisfied and create more value (collaboration with Arik).
Depending on your values, these mission statements also apply:
"Without us, people will die of old age."
"Without us, people will factory farm huge numbers of animals."
"Without us, people governments and territories won't have incentives to compete."
"Without us, most people won't develop a sense of purpose."
"Without us, people won't be able to trust scientific research."
"Without us, addiction will remain a massive societal problem."
Ambition List, 2017
This list is a first in 2017. A few items on here are experiments from a friend, and as a result, the list will probably be a little confusing.
Breakout companies are great for ambitious people for the same reason schools like Stanford are great
a) you meet other ambitious people — future co-founders/employees
b) you get a high quality signal — useful for helping future co-founders find you, and allies/getting people to help you
c) you get a "paypal mafia" — great for future collaborators
The ambition list is more ways to get a) and b) and c), without joining a company.
PG on the best way to learn to make a startup successful:
“So really what you need to know early on to make a start up successful is developing products. You would be better off going to design school if you would want to go to some sort of school. Although frankly the way to learn how to do it is just to do it. One of the things I got wrong early on is that I advised people who were interested in starting a startup to go work for some other company for a few years before starting their own.”
— Paul Graham, Co-founder of Y Combinator
What should I apply to?
Don't limit your options before you need to. First, create options. Then, choose. Choosing first places unnecessary constraints.
Ambition List 2017, Extended
A few more high potential opportunities that are worth noting.
Jan 9 2017: many of the applications (e.g. for the House of Ambition) have been removed as warned. They may be re-added later. Email [email protected] if you were mid-way through applying.
| Name |
Notes |
Product |
Tags |
Time commitment |
Location |
|
Venture Associate
|
Venure firms + AngelList Analyst Program, etc |
High information environment + exposure to ambitious founders |
Future Founders |
1-3 years |
SF/Menlo Park |
|
Lab/Studio Gig
|
Expa, Betaworks, HVF, etc |
High information environment |
Future Founders |
Various |
SF/NYC |
|
Chief-of-Staff Roles
|
This may be useful for finding chief-of-staff roles |
High information environment + exposure to smart people |
Future Founders |
Various |
Various |
Resource List
Be relentlessly resourceful.
Resources for companies
List of services for tech companies looking to hire engineers
Comprehensive Guide to Resources for Hiring Great People (very long, was non-public from Dec 2015 until now)
Resources for ambitious employees and future founders
Resource List: Figuring out what you want / your “purpose”
Life purpose questions
Resources for ambitious employees
Remember, building a great company takes time. Don't join a company and leave after three years because it hasn't won yet. Seek a company that you believe either has a) people so great you want to work with them for life or b) a problem so valuable you're willing to put 10-15 years into it. Then figure out where your current and future skills can help it win, and make it win.
Resource List: Getting hired at technology startups
Checklist: Engineer/data scientist resume checklist
Use A-List to get intros to founders and hiring managers and TripleByte to demonstrate your skill through programming tests.
Breakout List annotated version of the 2017 Wealthfront Career Launching Company List
Breakout Careers: Deciding which company to join, applying, interviewing, negotiating, comparing offers, and what to do after getting hired.
What type of company/opportunity is right for you?
Marc Andreessen Career Guide
Dustin's notes on "Somewhere that’s right for you: choosing your first startup"
List of great technology recruiters to reach out to
Offer checklist: checklist for deciding whether to join a specific company
How to get hired at small companies without standardized hiring processes (e.g. venture firms, labs/studios, chief-of-staff roles)
Guide to interviewing your future manager before deciding where to work
How to make the most of an opportunity (e.g. working at a startup) — for if you're already at a breakout, or once you get hired — if you apply to any breakouts, definitely read this!
"Is the list always correct?"
No
“Why isn't {company} on this list?”
Many companies are well known. Some companies have decent sized monetizable consumer attention or gross profit. Fewer companies have very high growth rates.
How do you get data? Why is this better than looking at an investor's portfolio? Can I get my company on the list? FAQ
Previous lists
View the 2016 (end of 2015) list as a PDF (size: 285KB) and as a Quip document.
View the Q2 2015 list
Contact
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Thank you for telling people about the breakout career philosophy.
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© 2017
The Breakout List is compiled by surveying venture and angel investors. We do not attempt to scrape public data.
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